In a dynamic world, Indian Mutual Funds are daunting to find one’s way around the host of investment opportunities. Among the most popular investment options-cum-capital preservation with regular income seekers-debt funds have their own considerations, too. Credit quality is one of the things that really makes a marked difference in your investment experience. Now, what exactly is it, and why should you, as an Indian investor, even care?
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Understanding Credit Quality
Credit quality refers essentially to the issuer’s likelihood of defaulting on a bond issue. Agencies such as CRISIL, ICRA, and CARE rate the credit quality of the issuer. Ratings range from the highest, which is ‘AAA’, through to ‘D’, which is considered high risk and high likelihood of default.
That is, for instance, an ‘AAA’ rated bond must have the highest possible credit quality, with an extremely strong chance that the issuer will fulfill his financial commitments. On the other hand, if a bond is rated ‘BB’ or lower, it will have more risk in the sense that the issuer might encounter trouble in fulfilling the obligations under certain circumstances.
Why Credit Quality Matters in Mutual Funds
Credit quality can be quoted as one of the most important risks directly related to a mutual fund’s risk and potential return for the securities held in its portfolio. Debt mutual funds of higher quality and more AAA-rated bonds generally gave lower returns; however, they are much safer. On the other hand, fund buying with lower credit quality securities might give higher returns, but they carry an increased risk. Credit quality becomes very significant in the Indian context for debt mutual fund investors who have to pick from credit risk funds as opposed to corporate bond funds and gilt funds.
- Credit Risk Funds: These are the funds which are mandated by Sebi to invest at least 65% of the corpus in securities rated lower than the highest safety level but above AA-. Although such funds provide higher returns, they are basically a high-risk product due to the low credit quality of the underlying bonds.
- Corporate Bond Funds: The funds majorly invest in top-quality corporate bonds and are usually rated AA and above. This is less risky compared to credit risk funds and also yields only moderate returns.
- Gilt Funds: Gilt funds invest in government securities that are of the highest credit quality and are consequently backed by the Indian government. Gilt funds are ideal for conservative investors in search of safety.
Factors That Affect Credit Quality
A bond or debt instrument’s credit quality depends on various factors that include:
- Financial Strength: The issuer’s financial health is a primary determinant. Companies with solid balance sheets, high profitability, and stable cash flows are more likely to receive a higher credit rating.
- Industry Risk: The type of industry in which an issuer operates also affects the credit quality. Sectors that have stable demand and low cyclicality tend to have high credit rating issuers.
- Economic Environment: General economic environment rates, inflation, and GDP growth all affect issuers’ ability to fulfill their debt obligations. A stable economy generally bodes well for stronger credit quality overall.
- Management Quality: Credit ratings may also be affected by the quality and track record of the management of the issuer. Experienced and strong management teams are less likely to lead to financial difficulties, so they support higher credit quality.
The Role of Credit Ratings
As mentioned earlier, credit rating agencies specialize in quantifying credit quality. CRISIL, ICRA and CARE are some popular credit rating agencies. They rate mutual funds. AAA has the highest ratings, and they are in the following order: AAA, AA+, AA, etc. Generally speaking, investors are advised to trust these ratings while assessing the safety of the investments they make into mutual funds. Of course, credit ratings are not constant; an issuer may be exposed to new market conditions or a change in financial health. Therefore, in an evolving market environment, you need to monitor the credit ratings of the securities in your mutual fund portfolio periodically.
Impact on Mutual Fund Returns
A mutual fund’s returns are affected by the quality of credit in its portfolio in two basic ways:
- Interest Payments: Bonds of a high-quality credit rating will be bound to pay low interest rates as they carry less risk, affecting the mutual funds’ return positively. Similarly, bonds with low credit quality are vulnerable to paying high rates of interest to safeguard that particular risk by giving or providing high returns on a mutual fund with high but uncertain returns.
- Capital Appreciation: In times of economic growth or when credit conditions are improving, it is quite probable that yields on lower-credit-quality bonds get re-priced higher as their perceived risk declines. Such a process then leads to capital gains accumulation by the mutual fund. Similarly, in times of economies of stress, these bonds will be re-priced lower very fast and hit the capital of the mutual fund in terms of likely loss.
Example: Understanding Through an Analogy
View credit quality in mutual funds as a popularity test, much like lending money to friends. Lend to a friend who’s in a guaranteed job and has good financial habits, and it’s very much like investing in high credit quality bonds: you know you’ll get repaid with a little bit of interest, not much, and exactly on time. Lending to a friend, especially one who is a problematic borrower, is a bit like making an investment in lower-quality or speculative-rate bonds. You might get a higher return, but there’s a meaningful chance you won’t get your money back.
Selection of Mutual Funds Based on Credit Quality
In the case of Indian investors, the mutual fund to be chosen needs to be in line with their risk tolerance and financial goals. If your prime objectives are safety and capital preservation, go with mutual funds that have high-quality credit securities. However, if you are ready to take more risk in exchange for potentially higher returns, you might consider funds that invest in lower credit quality securities such as credit risk funds.
Regular Monitoring and Periodic Reviews of the Portfolio
Credit quality is dynamic and can deteriorate; therefore, mutual fund portfolios must be comprehensively reviewed. The reviews will serve to assure you of the prevailing credit quality of the mutual fund, considering both risk tolerance and financial goals. A regular portfolio review helps realize timely actions—switching funds in case the credit quality of underlying securities weakens.
Conclusion
Understanding credit quality is crucial for the investor to decide on investment in mutual funds. It will help investors assess and weigh the risk with various debt instruments and make a selection of mutual funds accordingly. For the Indian investor, it would mean more predictable and stable investment returns, especially in severely fickle market environments.
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Disclaimer – This article is for educational purposes only and by no means intends to substitute expert guidance. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks. Please read all scheme-related documents carefully before investing.
